{"id":17646,"date":"2026-09-10T12:50:05","date_gmt":"2026-09-10T12:50:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bettingpremier.com\/blog\/?p=17646"},"modified":"2026-09-10T12:50:09","modified_gmt":"2026-09-10T12:50:09","slug":"ligue-1-matchday-4-analysis-with-kpi-metrics-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bettingpremier.com\/blog\/ligue-1-matchday-4-analysis-with-kpi-metrics-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"Ligue 1: Matchday 4 Analysis with KPI Metrics &#038; Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-ligue-1-matchday-4-overview\">Ligue 1: Matchday 4 Overview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The fourth matchday of Ligue 1 is set to be an exciting one for French football. There are nine matches that present a number of exciting matchups on the field. Rennes vs. Marseille and Strasbourg vs. Monaco are two matches between teams that haven\u2019t lost so far. Paris FC welcomes Lyon in another interesting matchup. Lille, Lens, and PSG have a chance to alter their standings. Teams playing in the early matches with good form can easily secure their spot. This matchday gives us a few chances to evaluate their performance. The analysis will not only focus on reputation and results. Match statistics, performance metrics, and key performance indicators will assist in identifying the best sides.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"bet-ad js-bet-ad-insert\" data-size=\"responsive\"><\/div>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-ligue-1-matchday-4-schedules\">Ligue 1: Matchday 4 Schedules<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-rennes-vs-marseille\">Rennes vs Marseille<\/h3>\n\n\n\r\n        <div id='ScheduleDetails6ab5a6304a6b3' class='js-bet-table' data-uid='6ab5a6304a6b3' data-ele='table'><\/div>\r\n        <script async>\r\n          var betTableData6ab5a6304a6b3 = {\"status\":true,\"message\":\"Odds not available\",\"op\":\"odds\",\"type\":\"individual\",\"identifier\":null,\"reqData\":{\"sport\":\"Football\",\"event\":\"France Ligue 1\",\"match\":\"Rennes v Marseille\"},\"uID\":\"6ab5a6304a6b3\"};\r\n        <\/script>\r\n      \n\n\n<p><strong>Date:<\/strong> 11 September 2026 (Friday)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Time:<\/strong> 02:45 PM ET | 11:45 AM PT | 12:15 AM IST (Next day)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Venue:<\/strong> Roazhon Park, Rennes<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-strasbourg-vs-as-monaco\">Strasbourg vs AS Monaco<\/h3>\n\n\n\r\n        <div id='ScheduleDetails6ab5a6304ac06' class='js-bet-table' data-uid='6ab5a6304ac06' data-ele='table'><\/div>\r\n        <script async>\r\n          var betTableData6ab5a6304ac06 = {\"status\":true,\"message\":\"Odds not available\",\"op\":\"odds\",\"type\":\"individual\",\"identifier\":null,\"reqData\":{\"sport\":\"Football\",\"event\":\"France Ligue 1\",\"match\":\"Strasbourg v Monaco\"},\"uID\":\"6ab5a6304ac06\"};\r\n        <\/script>\r\n      \n\n\n<p><strong>Date:<\/strong> 12 September 2026 (Saturday)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Time:<\/strong> 11:15 AM ET | 08:15 AM PT | 08:45 PM IST<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Venue:<\/strong> Stade de la Meinau Strasbourg<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-le-havre-ac-vs-angers-sco\">Le Havre AC vs Angers SCO<\/h3>\n\n\n\r\n        <div id='ScheduleDetails6ab5a6304b067' class='js-bet-table' data-uid='6ab5a6304b067' data-ele='table'><\/div>\r\n        <script async>\r\n          var betTableData6ab5a6304b067 = {\"status\":true,\"message\":\"Odds not available\",\"op\":\"odds\",\"type\":\"individual\",\"identifier\":null,\"reqData\":{\"sport\":\"Football\",\"event\":\"France Ligue 1\",\"match\":\"Le Havre v Angers\"},\"uID\":\"6ab5a6304b067\"};\r\n        <\/script>\r\n      \n\n\n<p><strong>Date:<\/strong> 12 September 2026 (Saturday)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Time:<\/strong> 02:45 PM ET | 11:45 AM PT | 12:15 AM IST (Next day)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Venue:<\/strong> Stade CMA CGM Oc\u00e9ane, Le Havre<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-aj-auxerre-vs-ogc-nice\">AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice<\/h3>\n\n\n\r\n        <div id='ScheduleDetails6ab5a6304b4f4' class='js-bet-table' data-uid='6ab5a6304b4f4' data-ele='table'><\/div>\r\n        <script async>\r\n          var betTableData6ab5a6304b4f4 = {\"status\":true,\"message\":\"Odds not available\",\"op\":\"odds\",\"type\":\"individual\",\"identifier\":null,\"reqData\":{\"sport\":\"Football\",\"event\":\"France Ligue 1\",\"match\":\"Auxerre v Nice\"},\"uID\":\"6ab5a6304b4f4\"};\r\n        <\/script>\r\n      \n\n\n<p><strong>Date:<\/strong> 12 September 2026 (Saturday)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Time:<\/strong> 02:45 PM ET | 11:45 AM PT | 12:15 AM IST (Next day)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Venue:<\/strong> Stade Abb\u00e9 Deschamps, Auxerre<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-fc-lorient-vs-toulouse-fc\">FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC<\/h3>\n\n\n\r\n        <div id='ScheduleDetails6ab5a6304b8b6' class='js-bet-table' data-uid='6ab5a6304b8b6' data-ele='table'><\/div>\r\n        <script async>\r\n          var betTableData6ab5a6304b8b6 = {\"status\":true,\"message\":\"Odds not available\",\"op\":\"odds\",\"type\":\"individual\",\"identifier\":null,\"reqData\":{\"sport\":\"Football\",\"event\":\"France Ligue 1\",\"match\":\"Lorient v Toulouse\"},\"uID\":\"6ab5a6304b8b6\"};\r\n        <\/script>\r\n      \n\n\n<p><strong>Date:<\/strong> 12 September 2026 (Saturday)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Time:<\/strong> 02:45 PM ET | 11:45 AM PT | 12:15 AM IST (Next day)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Venue:<\/strong> Stade du Moustoir, Lorient<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-paris-fc-vs-ol\">Paris FC vs OL<\/h3>\n\n\n\r\n        <div id='ScheduleDetails6ab5a6304bc88' class='js-bet-table' data-uid='6ab5a6304bc88' data-ele='table'><\/div>\r\n        <script async>\r\n          var betTableData6ab5a6304bc88 = {\"status\":true,\"message\":\"Odds not available\",\"op\":\"odds\",\"type\":\"individual\",\"identifier\":null,\"reqData\":{\"sport\":\"Football\",\"event\":\"France Ligue 1\",\"match\":\"Paris FC v Lyon\"},\"uID\":\"6ab5a6304bc88\"};\r\n        <\/script>\r\n      \n\n\n<p><strong>Date:<\/strong> 12 September 2026 (Saturday)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Time:<\/strong> 02:45 PM ET | 11:45 AM PT | 12:15 AM IST (Next day)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Venue:<\/strong> Stade Jean-Bouin, Paris<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-losc-lille-vs-troyes\">LOSC Lille vs Troyes<\/h3>\n\n\n\r\n        <div id='ScheduleDetails6ab5a6304c076' class='js-bet-table' data-uid='6ab5a6304c076' data-ele='table'><\/div>\r\n        <script async>\r\n          var betTableData6ab5a6304c076 = {\"status\":true,\"message\":\"Odds not available\",\"op\":\"odds\",\"type\":\"individual\",\"identifier\":null,\"reqData\":{\"sport\":\"Football\",\"event\":\"France Ligue 1\",\"match\":\"Lille v Troyes\"},\"uID\":\"6ab5a6304c076\"};\r\n        <\/script>\r\n      \n\n\n<p><strong>Date:<\/strong> 13 September 2026 (Sunday)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Time:<\/strong> 09:00 AM ET | 06:00 AM PT | 06:30 PM IST<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Venue:<\/strong> Decathlon Arena &#8211; Stade Pierre Mauroy, Villeneuve-d&#8217;Ascq<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-le-mans-fc-vs-rc-lens\">Le Mans FC vs RC Lens<\/h3>\n\n\n\r\n        <div id='ScheduleDetails6ab5a6304c42f' class='js-bet-table' data-uid='6ab5a6304c42f' data-ele='table'><\/div>\r\n        <script async>\r\n          var betTableData6ab5a6304c42f = {\"status\":true,\"message\":\"Odds not available\",\"op\":\"odds\",\"type\":\"individual\",\"identifier\":null,\"reqData\":{\"sport\":\"Football\",\"event\":\"France Ligue 1\",\"match\":\"Le Mans v Lens\"},\"uID\":\"6ab5a6304c42f\"};\r\n        <\/script>\r\n      \n\n\n<p><strong>Date:<\/strong> 13 September 2026 (Sunday)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Time:<\/strong> 11:15 AM ET | 08:15 AM PT | 08:45 PM IST<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Venue:<\/strong> Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-brest-vs-psg\">Brest vs PSG<\/h3>\n\n\n\r\n        <div id='ScheduleDetails6ab5a6304c77d' class='js-bet-table' data-uid='6ab5a6304c77d' data-ele='table'><\/div>\r\n        <script async>\r\n          var betTableData6ab5a6304c77d = {\"status\":true,\"message\":\"Odds not available\",\"op\":\"odds\",\"type\":\"individual\",\"identifier\":null,\"reqData\":{\"sport\":\"Football\",\"event\":\"France Ligue 1\",\"match\":\"Brest v PSG\"},\"uID\":\"6ab5a6304c77d\"};\r\n        <\/script>\r\n      \n\n\n<p><strong>Date:<\/strong> 13 September 2026 (Sunday)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Time:<\/strong> 02:45 PM ET | 11:45 AM PT | 12:15 AM IST (Next day)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Venue:<\/strong> Stade Francis-Le Bl\u00e9, Brest<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-match-previews\">Match Previews<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-rennes-vs-marseille-0\">Rennes vs Marseille<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Date:<\/strong> 11 September 2026 (Friday)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Time:<\/strong> 02:45 PM ET | 11:45 AM PT | 12:15 AM IST (Next day)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Venue:<\/strong> Roazhon Park, Rennes<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-expected-ligue-1-squad\">Expected Ligue 1 Squad<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-rennes\">Rennes<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Position<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Players<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Goalkeepers <\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Nicolas Lemaitre, Brice Samba, Kilian Belazzoug<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Defenders<\/strong><\/td><td>Firmin Th\u00e9tiot, Charlie Cresswell, Gon\u00e7alo Oliveira, Bryan Reynolds, Mahamadou Nagida, Anthony Rouault, Quentin Merlin, Alidu Seidu, Abdelhamid A\u00eft Boudlal<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Midfielders <\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Ayanda Sishuba, Djaoui Ciss\u00e9, Sebastian Szymanski, Valentin Rongier, Adrien Thomasson, Mahdi Camara, Przemyslaw Frankowski<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Forwards<\/strong><\/td><td>Esteban Lepaul, Ludovic Blas, Mousa Al-Tamari, Eliezer Mayenda, Boulaye Dia, Elias Legendre, Henrick Do Marcolino, Arnaud Nordin, Issa Soumar\u00e9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-marseille\">Marseille<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Position<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Players<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Goalkeepers<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Jeffrey de Lange, Jelle Van Neck, Th\u00e9o Vermot<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Defenders<\/strong><\/td><td>CJ Egan-Riley, Derek Cornelius, Bamo Me\u00eft\u00e9, Nayef Aguerd, Ulisses Garcia, Emerson, Kelyann Bezahaf<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Midfielders<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Tochukwu Nnadi, Angel Gomes, Himad Abdelli, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Pierre-Emile H\u00f8jbjerg, Nouhoum Kamissoko, Amine Harit<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Forwards<\/strong><\/td><td>Amine Gouiri, Neal Maupay, Igor Paix\u00e3o, Timothy Weah, Faris Moumbagna, Tadjidine Mmadi, Keyliane Abdallah<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-injury-list\">Injury List<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Rennes&nbsp;does not have any unavailable players.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Unavailable players for&nbsp;Marseille:<\/strong>&nbsp;Geoffrey Kondogbia&nbsp;(injury),&nbsp;Tochukwu Nnadi&nbsp;(injury).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-kpi-comparison\">KPI Comparison<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>KPI<\/strong><\/td><td>Rennes<\/td><td><strong>Marseille<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>KPI Advantage<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>League Points<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>7<\/td><td>3<\/td><td>Rennes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Goals<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>2.33<\/strong><\/td><td>2.00<\/td><td>Rennes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Goals Conceded<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>1.67<\/td><td>1.67<\/td><td>Draw<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Goal Differential<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>+0.70<\/strong><\/td><td>+0.30<\/td><td>Rennes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Expected Goals (xG)<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong>1.70<\/strong><\/td><td>1.54<\/td><td>Rennes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)<\/strong><\/td><td>2.20<\/td><td><strong>1.56<\/strong><\/td><td>Marseille<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Expected Goal Differential<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>-0.50<\/td><td><strong>-0.0<\/strong><\/td><td>Marseille<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Possession<\/strong><\/td><td>52%<\/td><td><strong>64%<\/strong><\/td><td>Marseille<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Save Percentage<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>62%<\/td><td><strong>64%<\/strong><\/td><td>Marseille<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Clean Sheets<\/strong><\/td><td>0<\/td><td><strong>1<\/strong><\/td><td>Marseille<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Current Ligue 1 Form<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong>D-W-W<\/strong><\/td><td>W-L-L<\/td><td>Rennes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>League Position<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>5th<\/strong><\/td><td>10th<\/td><td>Rennes<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-analysis\">Analysis<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>The choice goes to Rennes since they have accumulated 7 points in just three matches, whereas Marseille has accumulated just three points. Moreover, Rennes score more goals and have an excellent goal difference compared to their counterparts. Marseille seems very good in possession, xGA, and xG differential, but the current form of Rennes favors them. The model gives Rennes a 5-4 victory against Marseille based on selected KPIs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>The Pick:<\/em><\/strong><em> Rennes<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-strasbourg-vs-as-monaco-0\">Strasbourg vs AS Monaco<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Date:<\/strong> 12 September 2026 (Saturday)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Time:<\/strong> 11:15 AM ET | 08:15 AM PT | 08:45 PM IST<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Venue:<\/strong> Stade de la Meinau Strasbourg<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-ligue-1-expected-squad\">Ligue 1 Expected Squad<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-strasbourg\">Strasbourg<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Position<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Players<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Goalkeepers<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Filip J\u00f8rgensen, Milosz Piekutowski, Gabriel Kerckaert<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Defenders<\/strong><\/td><td>Hermann Diandaga, Jeyland Mitchell, Ismael Doukoure, Mateo Del Blanco, Genesis Antwi, Lucas H\u00f8gsberg, Karim Coulibaly, Oso, Yoann Becker<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Midfielders<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Maximillian Oyedele, Sebastian Nanasi, Giovanni Reyna, D\u00e1rio Essugo, Pape Diop, Diogo Sousa, Omari Kellyman, Tyrese Noubissie, Samir El Mourabet, Benjamin Brantlind<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Forwards<\/strong><\/td><td>Deivid Washington, Joaqu\u00edn Panichelli, S\u00e9kou Mara, Fabio Bald\u00e9, Martial Godo, Samuel Amo-Ameyaw, Jacobo Ortega Conde, Yaya Di\u00e9m\u00e9, Ghianny Kodia, Conrad Harder, Gessime Yassine<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-as-monaco\">AS Monaco<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Position<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Players<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Goalkeepers<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Lukas Hradecky, Philipp K\u00f6hn, Jules Stawiecki, Yann Lienard<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Defenders<\/strong><\/td><td>Vanderson, Eric Dier, Jordan Teze, Christian Mawissa, N\u00e1zinho, Mohammed Salisu, Sadibou San\u00e9<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Midfielders<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Denis Zakaria, Aleksandr Golovin, Lamine Camara, Stanis Idumbo, Takumi Minamino, Pape Cabral, Mamadou Coulibaly, Edan Diop, Aymen Assab, Samuel Nibomb\u00e9, Anis Soubeir, Safouane Benzahra, Ilane Tour\u00e9<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Forwards<\/strong><\/td><td>Mathys Detourbet, Folarin Balogun, Mika Biereth, Paris Brunner, Ansu Fati, Matthis Abline, Oumar Konat\u00e9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-injury-list-0\">Injury List<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Unavailable players for&nbsp;Strasbourg:<\/strong>&nbsp;Maxi Oyedele&nbsp;(injury),&nbsp;Joaqu\u00edn Panichelli&nbsp;(injury),&nbsp;Martial Godo&nbsp;(injury).&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Unavailable players for&nbsp;Monaco:<\/strong>&nbsp;Mohammed Salisu&nbsp;(injury),&nbsp;Ansu Fati&nbsp;(injury),&nbsp;Edan Diop&nbsp;(injury),&nbsp;Folarin Balogun&nbsp;(injury).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-kpi-comparison-0\">KPI Comparison<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>KPI<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>AS Monaco<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Strasbourg<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>KPI Advantage<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>League Points<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong>9<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>6<\/td><td>Monaco<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Goals<\/strong><\/td><td>1.67<\/td><td><strong>2.67<\/strong><\/td><td>Strasbourg<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Goals Conceded<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong>0.33<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>2.33<\/td><td>Monaco<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Goal Differential<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>+1.33<\/strong><\/td><td>+0.33<\/td><td>Monaco<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Expected Goals (xG)<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>1.13<\/td><td><strong>1.67<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Strasbourg<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>1.34<\/strong><\/td><td>2.53<\/td><td>Monaco<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Avg. Expected Goal Differential<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong>-0.2<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>-0.9<\/td><td>Monaco<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Possession<\/strong><\/td><td>38%<\/td><td><strong>48%<\/strong><\/td><td>Strasbourg<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Save Percentage<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong>93%<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>67%<\/td><td>Monaco<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Clean Sheets<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>2<\/strong><\/td><td>0<\/td><td>Monaco<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Current Ligue 1 Form<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong>W-W-W<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>W-W-L<\/td><td>Monaco<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>League Position<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>1<\/strong><\/td><td>6<\/td><td>Monaco<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-analysis-0\">Analysis<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>AS Monaco seems to be the more sensible choice for this game. Monaco have managed to win all their three games in Ligue 1. They have only conceded one goal. Strasbourg have a good scoring record but have let in seven goals on the defensive side. Also, Monaco have a good xG\/xGA profile when compared to that of Strasbourg. The biggest strength of Monaco lies in their defensive efficiency. Strasbourg&#8217;s attacking strategy and tactics make them a strong competitor, but Monaco&#8217;s consistency gives them an advantage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>The Pick:<\/em><\/strong><em> Monaco<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-paris-fc-vs-ol-0\">Paris FC vs OL<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Date:<\/strong> 12 September 2026 (Saturday)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Time:<\/strong> 02:45 PM ET | 11:45 AM PT | 12:15 AM IST (Next day)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Venue:<\/strong> Stade Jean-Bouin, Paris<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-ligue-1-expected-squad-0\">Ligue 1 Expected Squad<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-paris-fc\">Paris FC<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Position<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Players<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Goalkeepers<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Obed Nkambadio<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Defenders<\/strong><\/td><td>Kevin Trapp, Emmanuel Mbemba, Moustapha Mbow, Otavio, Hamari Traor\u00e9, Nhoa Sangui, Yoan Kor\u00e9, Thibault De Smet, Samir Chergui, Diego Coppola<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Midfielders<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Vincent Marchetti, Zabi Gueu, Ilan Kebbal, Adama Camara, Maxime L\u00f3pez, Rudy Matondo, Pierre Lees-Melou<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Forwards<\/strong><\/td><td>Pablo Pagis, Lassine Sinayoko, Jean-Phillipe Krasso, Luca Koleosho, Omar Sissoko, Moses Simon, Jonathan Ikon\u00e9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-ol\">OL<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Position<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Players<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Goalkeepers<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Dominik Greif, Justin Bengui Joao, Yvann Konan, Matthias Da Silva, R\u00e9my Descamps, Lassine Diarra<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Defenders<\/strong><\/td><td>Nicol\u00e1s Tagliafico, Zachary Athekame, Abner, Moussa Niakhat\u00e9, Felix Bacher, Ruben Kluivert, Clinton Mata, Steeve Kango, Mohamed Ou\u00e9draogo, Noham Kamara<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Midfielders<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Mads Bidstrup, Tanner Tessmann, Corentin Tolisso, Pavel Sulc, Khalis Merah, Tyler Morton, Mathys De Carvalho, Tiago Manuel Gon\u00e7alves Silva, Noah Nartey<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Forwards<\/strong><\/td><td>Keito Nakamura, Ernest Nuamah, Lo\u00efs Openda, Julien Duranville, Kail Boudache, Adil Hamdani, R\u00e9mi Himbert<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-injury-list-1\">Injury List<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Unavailable players for&nbsp;Paris FC:<\/strong>&nbsp;Emmanuel Mbemba&nbsp;(injury),&nbsp;Nhoa Sangui&nbsp;(injury),&nbsp;Ot\u00e1vio&nbsp;(injury),&nbsp;Jonathan Ikon\u00e9&nbsp;(injury).&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Unavailable players for&nbsp;Lyon:<\/strong>&nbsp;Julien Duranville&nbsp;(injury).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-kpi-comparison-1\">KPI Comparison<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>KPI<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Lyon<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Paris FC<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>KPI Advantage<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>League Points<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>7<\/td><td>7<\/td><td>Draw<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Goals<\/strong><\/td><td>2.00<\/td><td>2.00<\/td><td>Draw<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Goals Conceded<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>0.67<\/td><td>0.67<\/td><td>Draw<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Goal Differential<\/strong><\/td><td>+1.3<\/td><td>+1.3<\/td><td>Draw<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Expected Goals (xG)<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>1.70<\/td><td><strong>2.54<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Paris FC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)<\/strong><\/td><td>1.32<\/td><td><strong>0.85<\/strong><\/td><td>Paris FC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Expected Goal Differential<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>+0.4<\/td><td><strong>+1.7<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Paris FC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Possession<\/strong><\/td><td>56%<\/td><td>47%<\/td><td>Lyon<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Save Percentage<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>82%<\/td><td><strong>78%<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Paris FC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Clean Sheets<\/strong><\/td><td>1<\/td><td><strong>2<\/strong><\/td><td>Paris FC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Current Ligue 1 Form<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>W-D-W<\/td><td>D-W-W<\/td><td>Draw<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>League Position<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>2<\/strong><\/td><td>3<\/td><td>Lyon<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-analysis-1\">Analysis<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Lyon holds an upper hand since the KPI comparison table has been considered. Both teams have the same points and goals tally. Expected goals rate, expected goals against, expected goal difference, and save rate favor Paris FC. Possession is in favor of Lyon, who is also placed higher in the league. Improved possession by Lyon will be the reason behind their victory in the match. These types of improvements match by match have given them a crucial opportunity to score.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>The Pick:<\/em><\/strong><em> OL<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-losc-lille-vs-troyes-0\">LOSC Lille vs Troyes<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Date:<\/strong> 13 September 2026 (Sunday)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Time:<\/strong> 09:00 AM ET | 06:00 AM PT | 06:30 PM IST<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Venue:<\/strong> Decathlon Arena &#8211; Stade Pierre Mauroy, Villeneuve-d&#8217;Ascq<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-expected-ligue-1-squad-0\">Expected Ligue 1 Squad<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-losc-lille\">LOSC Lille<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Position<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Players<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Goalkeepers<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Berke \u00d6zer, Orlando Gill, Arnaud Bodart<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Defenders<\/strong><\/td><td>Loun Srdanovic, Nathan Ngoy, Alexsandro, Romain Perraud, Tiago Santos, Tanguy Nianzou, Calvin Verdonk, Isaac Cossier, Maxima Goffi<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Midfielders<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Nabil Bentaleb, Ethan Mbapp\u00e9, H\u00e1kon Haraldsson, Maurits Kjaergaard, Ngal&#8217;ayel Mukau, Benjamin Andr\u00e9<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Forwards<\/strong><\/td><td>Dilane Bakwa, Olivier Giroud, Osame Sahraoui, Ayase Ueda, Basar \u00d6nal, Gaetan Perrin, Hamza Igmane, Soriba Diaoune<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-troyes\">Troyes<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Position<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Players<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Goalkeepers<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Zacharie Boucher, Patrick Beach, Hillel Konat\u00e9<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Defenders<\/strong><\/td><td>Lucas Maronnier, Anis Ouzenadji, Michel Diaz, Paolo Gozzi Iweru, Adrien Monfray, Ismael Boura, Noah Donkor, Enisio Carneiro, Yvann Titi<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Midfielders<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Mouhamed Diop, Merwan Ifnaoui, Iron Gomis, Antoine Mille, Hugo Picard, Alexandre Philiponeau, Dermane Karim, Roman Murcy, Idrissa Soukouna<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Forwards<\/strong><\/td><td>Kandet Diawara, Jeremy Le Douaron, Ibrahim Traor\u00e9, Renaud Ripart, Timoth\u00e9 Nkada, Christ Batola, Yacouba Kone<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-injury-list-2\">Injury List<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Unavailable players for&nbsp;Lille:<\/strong>&nbsp;Hamza Igamane&nbsp;(injury).&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Unavailable players for&nbsp;Troyes:<\/strong>&nbsp;Paolo Gozzi&nbsp;(injury),&nbsp;Isma\u00ebl Boura&nbsp;(injury),&nbsp;Yvann Titi&nbsp;(injury).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-kpi-comparison-2\">KPI Comparison<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>KPI<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Troyes<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Lille<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>KPI Advantage<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>League Points<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>4<\/td><td><strong>7<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Lille<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Goals<\/strong><\/td><td>1.33<\/td><td><strong>1.67<\/strong><\/td><td>Lille<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Goals Conceded<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>2.33<\/td><td><strong>+0.67<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Lille<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Goal Differential<\/strong><\/td><td>-1.0<\/td><td><strong>+1.0<\/strong><\/td><td>Lille<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Expected Goals (xG)<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td><strong>1.60<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>1.19<\/td><td>Troyes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Average Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)<\/strong><\/td><td>2.00<\/td><td><strong>2.28<\/strong><\/td><td>Lille<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Expected Goal Differential<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>-0.4<\/td><td><strong>-1.1<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Lille<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Possession<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>38%<\/strong><\/td><td>36%<\/td><td>Troyes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Save Percentage<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>61%<\/td><td><strong>87%<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>Lille<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Clean Sheets<\/strong><\/td><td>1<\/td><td><strong>2<\/strong><\/td><td>Lille<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Current Ligue 1 Form<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/td><td>D-W-L<\/td><td>D-W-L<\/td><td>Draw<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>League Position<\/strong><\/td><td>9th<\/td><td><strong>4th<\/strong><\/td><td>Lille<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-analysis-2\">Analysis<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Lille clearly grabs an advantage in almost all the KPIs. In terms of points, goal difference, number of goals scored, and save percentage, Lille outperforms Troyes. Although Troyes has a slightly higher xG and higher possession, they still lack defensively compared to Lille. Lille has a better record when it comes to clean sheets and a superior league ranking. The overall KPI profile strongly shows Lille has the advantage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>The Pick:<\/em><\/strong><em> LOSC Lille<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-conclusion\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Match Day 4 is likely to witness some significant developments in the Ligue 1 standings. Results witnessed in the early weeks have already produced varying levels of momentum among clubs. The Monaco team comes into the matchday with a 100% league record, while PSG is yet to register a win. Rennes is also coming in on a positive streak as they take on Marseille. Form alone cannot determine our predictions, however. We shall assess attack, defense, possession, shots, passing, expected goals, and other KPIs. Through the analysis of these indicators, we shall determine the statistical edge of each club.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ligue 1: Matchday 4 Overview The fourth matchday of Ligue 1 is set to be an exciting one for French football. There are nine matches that present a number of exciting matchups on the field. Rennes vs. Marseille and Strasbourg vs. Monaco are two matches between teams that haven\u2019t lost so far. Paris FC welcomes [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":17647,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1926,17],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17646","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-football"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.3 (Yoast SEO v25.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Ligue 1: Matchday 4 Analysis with KPI Metrics &amp; Picks<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"In this article, you&#039;ll get to know the Ligue 1 Matchday 4 fixtures, preview, and key match stats of this season.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/bettingpremier.com\/blog\/ligue-1-matchday-4-analysis-with-kpi-metrics-picks\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ligue 1: Matchday 4 Analysis with KPI Metrics &amp; 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