UEFA Nations League: Matchday 4 Group Stage Analysis & Pick
UEFA Nations League: Matchday 4 Overview
UEFA Nations League is back in action with yet another round of football matches. Matchday 4 consists of some of the most significant matches in several groups. In total, there will be 26 matches in the UEFA Nations League schedule between October 4 and October 6. Many games could affect group standings.
The UEFA Nations League provides a great number of exciting matches between top European football teams. There is the Greece vs. Germany game to pay attention to. The next interesting match is Portugal vs. Norway. Another significant game will take place between France and Belgium. This provides the UEFA Nations League Matchday 4 schedule, statistics, lineups, and analysis.
UEFA Nations League: Matchday 4 Complete Schedule
Date & Day
Group
Fixture
ET
PT
IST
Venue
4 October 2026 (Sunday)
N
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania
9:00 AM
6:00 AM
6:30 PM
Palms Sports Arena, Baku, Azerbaijan
4 October 2026 (Sunday)
G
Kosovo vs Austria
11:00 AM
8:00 AM
9:30 PM
Fadil Vokrri Stadium, Prishtina, Kosovo
4 October 2026 (Sunday)
M
Malta vs Andorra
11:00 AM
8:00 AM
9:30 PM
National Stadium, Ta’ Qali, Attard, Malta
4 October 2026 (Sunday)
B
Greece vs Germany
2:45 PM
11:45 AM
12:15 AM (Next Day)
Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki, Greece
4 October 2026 (Sunday)
B
Netherlands vs Serbia
2:45 PM
11:45 AM
12:15 AM (Next Day)
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven, Netherlands
4 October 2026 (Sunday)
D
Portugal vs Norway
2:45 PM
11:45 AM
12:15 AM (Next Day)
Estádio do Dragão, Porto, Portugal
4 October 2026 (Sunday)
G
Republic of Ireland vs Israel
2:45 PM
11:45 AM
12:15 AM (Next Day)
TSC Arena, Bačka Topola, Serbia
4 October 2026 (Sunday)
D
Wales vs Denmark
2:45 PM
11:45 AM
12:15 AM (Next Day)
Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff, Wales
5 October 2026 (Monday)
J
Cyprus vs Latvia
11:00 AM
8:00 AM
9:30 PM
GSP Stadium, Nicosia, Cyprus
5 October 2026 (Monday)
H
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland
2:45 PM
11:45 AM
12:15 AM (Next Day)
Stadion “Bilino Polje”, Zenica, Bosnia and Herzegovina
Ermal Krasniqi, Valmir Matoshi, Dion Kacuri, Muharrem Jashari
Forwards
Albion Rrahmani, Fisnik Asllani
Head Coach
Franco Foda
Austria
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Position
Players
Goalkeeper
Florian Wiegele
Defenders
Phillipp Mwene, Philipp Lienhart, David Affengruber, Stefan Posch
Midfielders
Xaver Schlager, Nicolas Seiwald, Romano Schmid, Carney Chukwuemeka, Patrick Wimmer
Forward
Sasa Kalajdzic
Head Coach
Ralf Rangnick
Injury List
Unavailable players for Kosovo: Vedat Muriqi (injury), Donat Rrudhani (injury).
Unavailable players for Austria: Raul Florucz (suspension).
Performance Analysis: Kosovo vs Austria
KPI
Kosovo
Austria
Average Goals
0.83
2.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.50
1.17
Average Goal Differential
+0.30
+1.70
Possession
54%
55%
Shots on Target %
30%
47%
Big Chances Created
1.33
3.67
Duel Win %
52%
51%
Clean Sheets
3
0
Save Percentage
77%
12%
Top Scorer
Vedat Muriqi – 2
Romano Schmid – 2
Top Assists
—
Patrick Wimmer – 2
Previous Meeting
—
Austria won 3–1
Analysis
However, in terms of attack, Austria has better figures in terms of scoring. Their average for goals scored is 2.83, while their rivals’ average is only 0.83. Also, the Austrians create better opportunities for shooting: 3.67 versus 1.33 for their rivals. In terms of shots on target, Austria averages 47 percent, while the rival team averages 30 percent.
On the other hand, the Kosovo team boasts more clean sheets (three) than Austria (zero). Nonetheless, Austria’s previous victory of 3-1 makes things a little better for them in this match. The possession rate between the teams also shows that Austria has the better possession rate. The numbers point toward Austria having an advantage in attacking and passing.
The Pick: Austria
Match 2: Greece vs Germany
Date: 4 October 2026 (Sunday)
Time: 02:45 PM ET | 11:45 AM PT | 12:15 AM IST (Next day)
Malick Thiaw, Waldemar Anton, Philipp Treu, Maximilian Mittelstädt
Midfielders
Derry Scherhant, Tom Bischof, Aleksandar Pavlović, Serge Gnabry
Forwards
Florian Wirtz, Nick Woltemade
Head Coach
Jürgen Klopp
Injury List
Unavailable players for Greece: Christos Tzolis (injury).
Unavailable players for Germany: Nico Schlotterbeck (injury), Kai Havertz (injury), Brajan Gruda (injury).
Performance Analysis: Greece vs Germany
KPI
Greece
Germany
Average Goals
1.83
1.00
Average Goals Conceded
1.00
0.83
Average Goal Differential
+0.8
+0.2
Possession
41%
61%
Shots on Target
33%
25%
Big Chances Created
2.33
2.67
Duel Win Percentage
48%
45%
Clean Sheets
1
1
Save Percentage
77%
88%
Key Player Statistics
Category
Greece
Germany
Top Scorer
C. Tzolis – 2 goals
F. Nmecha – 2 goals
Most Assists
V. Pavlidis – 2 assists
K. Adeyemi – 2 assists
Top Scorer Apps
4
3
Most Assists Apps
4
3
Analysis
On average, Greece has managed to score more goals. Additionally, the average goal difference is higher for Greece than for Germany. However, Germany has conceded fewer goals per game. Germany controls the ball better, having an average of 61 percent ball possession compared to 41 percent for Greece. Greece has a higher percentage of shots on target at 33 percent.
Germany managed to create slightly more big chances, with an average of 2.67 per game. Greece have the edge in duels with a 48 percent win rate. Both sides have managed one clean sheet per game. Germany have a better save percentage at 88 percent. The top scorer for Greece is C. Tzolis with two goals in four games. The top scorer for Germany is F. Nmecha with two goals in three games.
The Pick: Greece
Match 3: Portugal vs Norway
Date: 4 October 2026 (Sunday)
Time: 02:45 PM ET | 11:45 AM PT | 12:15 AM IST (Next day)
Venue: Estádio do Dragão, Porto, Portugal
UEFA Nations League Expected Lineups
Portugal
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Position
Players
Goalkeeper
Diogo Costa
Defenders
João Cancelo, Rúben Dias, Renato Veiga, Nuno Mendes
Midfielders
Rúben Neves, Vitinha, Pedro Neto, Bruno Fernandes, Rafael Leão
Forward
Gonçalo Ramos
Head Coach
Jorge Jesus
Norway
Formation: 4-3-3
Position
Players
Goalkeeper
Ørjan Nyland
Defenders
David Møller Wolfe, Torbjørn Heggem, Kristoffer Ajer, Julian Ryerson
Midfielders
Fredrik Aursnes, Sander Berge, Martin Ødegaard
Forwards
Oscar Bobb, Erling Haaland, Andreas Schjelderup
Head Coach
Ståle Solbakken
Injury List
Unavailable players for Portugal: Francisco Conceição (injury).
Unavailable players for Norway: Torbjørn Heggem (suspension), Julian Ryerson (injury).
Performance Analysis: Portugal vs Norway
KPI
Portugal
Norway
Average Goals
1.78
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
2.00
Average Goal Differential
+1.1
-0.1
Possession
43%
51%
Shots on Target
32%
41%
Big Chances Created
1.33
1.33
Duel Win Percentage
49%
50%
Clean Sheets
2
0
Save Percentage
65%
61%
Key Player Statistics
Category
Portugal
Norway
Top Scorer
J. Félix – 4 goals
E. Haaland – 5 goals
Most Assists
N. Mendes – 2 assists
M. Ødegaard – 5 assists
Top Scorer Apps
4
5
Most Assists Apps
4
5
Analysis
The defense of Portugal is considerably better based on the provided data. For instance, they concede 0.67 goals per game against Norway. Additionally, Portugal has a far better average goal difference of +1.1 as compared to their opponents. Despite having fewer goals than Portugal (1.89), Norway have the edge in possession and shots on target ratio. Both sides create equal chances on an average basis.
Norway have an edge in terms of successful duels, with 50 percent for both teams. Portugal have recorded two clean sheets, but Norway do not have any. Moreover, the side led by Rui has the higher save percentage, which stands at 65 percent. J. Félix is the top scorer in Portugal, having scored four goals in four games. Haaland has five goals to his name in five games.
The Pick: Portugal
Match 4: France vs Belgium
Date: 5 October 2026 (Monday)
Time: 02:45 PM ET | 11:45 AM PT | 12:15 AM IST (Next day)
Venue: Stade de France, Saint-Denis, France
UEFA Nations League Expected Lineups
France
Formation: 4-3-3
Position
Players
Goalkeeper
Mike Maignan
Defenders
Pierre Kalulu, Jérémy Jacquet, Maxence Lacroix, Andy Diouf
Midfielders
Maghnes Akliouche, Lucas Da Cunha, Eduardo Camavinga
Forwards
Désiré Doué, Ousmane Dembélé, Michael Olise
Head Coach
Zinedine Zidane
Belgium
Formation: 4-3-3
Position
Players
Goalkeeper
Senne Lammens
Defenders
Timothy Castagne, Koni De Winter, Nathan Ngoy, Maxim De Cuyper
Midfielders
Youri Tielemans, Hans Vanaken, Kevin De Bruyne
Forwards
Charles De Ketelaere, Dodi Lukébakio, Mika Godts
Head Coach
Mark van Bommel
Injury List
Unavailable players for France: Mattéo Guendouzi (suspension), Warren Zaïre-Emery (injury).
Belgium does not have any unavailable players.
Performance Analysis: France vs Belgium
KPI
France
Belgium
Average Goals
1.00
1.00
Average Goals Conceded
0.00
0.50
Average Goal Differential
+1.0
+0.5
Possession
64%
40%
Shots on Target
37%
32%
Big Chances Created
1.50
2.00
Duel Win Percentage
56%
45%
Clean Sheets
2
1
Save Percentage
100%
92%
Key Player Statistics
Category
France
Belgium
Top Scorer
M. Olise – 1 goal
M. Godts – 1 goal
Most Assists
R. Cherki – 1 assist
C. De Ketelaere – 1 assist
Top Scorer Apps
2
2
Most Assists Apps
2
2
Analysis
France possesses an impressive defensive track record based on the presented statistics. They have not conceded any goals in the given matches. Belgium have conceded 0.5 goals per game over the given period. France also holds the superior goal difference with +1.0. Their 64 percent possession is much better than that of Belgium, which stands at 40 percent.
France has a five-point superiority in shots on target percentage. Belgium have created a high number of big chances, at 2.00 per game. France have the edge in duels won at 56 percent. Both sides average 1 goal per game. France have kept two clean sheets.
The Pick: France
Conclusion
Matchday 4 will prove another critical stage in the UEFA Nations League tournament. The full UEFA Nations League fixture list consists of 24 matches, taking place on three matchdays. There are some matches that promise an exciting struggle between teams with contrasting stats. Austria have excellent offensive stats against Kosovo, selected for analysis. Greece are good in scoring and dueling stats in the match against Germany. Portugal have great defensive stats before meeting Norway. France have great defensive stats before playing Belgium.
These statistics mean that there is a unique story behind every UEFA Nations League game. Team form, player availability, and recent performance continue to be relevant. UEFA Nations League games are also a great chance for some teams to score points.