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Carabao Cup 2026-27: Third Round KPI & Metrics Analysis

Carabao Cup: Third Round Overview

The third round of the Carabao Cup will have 16 thrilling encounters, including some big games having top Premier League clubs. Liverpool takes on Tottenham Hotspur, Chelsea play Leeds, Arsenal visit Ipswich Town, and Manchester United entertain Brighton. Participation in European competitions may mean changes in the starting eleven. Lower-league teams will create competitiveness against elite opponents.

Carabao Cup: Third Round Full Fixtures

Date & DayHome TeamAway TeamTime ZonesVenue
ETPTIST
8 September 2026 (Tuesday)BournemouthLincoln City2:45 PM11:45 AM12:15 AM (Next day)Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
8 September 2026 (Tuesday)Leyton OrientBradford City2:45 PM11:45 AM12:15 AM (Next day)BetWright Stadium, Brisbane Road
8 September 2026 (Tuesday)SunderlandHull2:45 PM11:45 AM12:15 AM (Next day)Stadium of Light, Sunderland
8 September 2026 (Tuesday)Crystal PalaceMiddlesbrough2:45 PM11:45 AM12:15 AM (Next day)Selhurst Park
8 September 2026 (Tuesday)MillwallNewcastle United3:00 PM12:00 PM12:30 AM (Next day)The Den, Millwall
9 September 2026 (Wednesday)ChelseaLeeds United3:00 PM12:00 PM12:30 AM (Next day)Stamford Bridge, Fulham
15 September 2026 (Tuesday)Peterborough UnitedBarnsley2:45 PM11:45 AM12:15 AM (Next day)Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough
15 September 2026 (Tuesday)West Ham UnitedFulham2:45 PM11:45 AM12:15 AM (Next day)London Stadium
15 September 2026 (Tuesday)LiverpoolTottenham Hotspur3:00 PM12:00 PM12:30 AM (Next day)Anfield, Liverpool
15 September 2026 (Tuesday)Ipswich TownArsenal3:00 PM12:00 PM12:30 AM (Next day)Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich
15 September 2026 (Tuesday)ReadingBrentford2:45 PM11:45 AM12:15 AM (Next day)Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading
16 September 2026 (Wednesday)Fleetwood TownSheffield United2:45 PM11:45 AM12:15 AM (Next day)Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood
16 September 2026 (Wednesday)EvertonWolverhampton Wanderers2:45 PM11:45 AM12:15 AM (Next day)Hill Dickinson Stadium, Everton
16 September 2026 (Wednesday)Manchester UnitedBrighton3:00 PM12:00 PM12:30 AM (Next day)Old Trafford, Greater Manchester
16 September 2026 (Wednesday)Coventry CityAston Villa3:00 PM12:00 PM12:30 AM (Next day)Coventry Building Society Arena
17 September 2026 (Thursday)Manchester CityNorwich City2:30 PM11:30 AM12:00 AM (Next day)Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Carabao Cup: Eight Third-Round Showdowns You Shouldn’t Miss

The Carabao Cup third round features a total of 16 matches. In that there are many thrilling ties, from Premier League battles that upset the potential teams competing for the cup. These eight matches are distinguished by their rivalry, quality, competitiveness, and storylines.

RankMatchWhy It Stands Out
1Liverpool vs TottenhamThe Carabao fixture has a headline tie between two major Premier League clubs.
2Chelsea vs LeedsA strong Premier League matchup with plenty of recent history.
3Ipswich Town vs ArsenalArsenal will face a tricky away test against an ambitious Ipswich side.
4Manchester United vs BrightonTwo Premier League teams with contrasting styles meet at Old Trafford.
5Coventry City vs Aston VillaA Midlands clash adds an extra local appreciation to the round.
6Millwall vs Newcastle UnitedMillwall’s physical appearance will test Newcastle’s Premier League quality.
7Sunderland vs Hull CityTwo competitive sides meet with cup progression at stake.
8Everton vs WolvesA Premier League battle adds further quality to the third round.

Top Profile Matches: Third-Round Carabao Cup

Chelsea vs Leeds United

Date: 9 September 2026 (Wednesday)

Time: 3:00 PM ET | 12:00 PM PT | 12:30 AM IST (Next day)

Venue: Stamford Bridge, Fulham

Expected Carabao Cup Squad

Chelsea
PositionPlayers
GoalkeepersEmiliano Martínez, Teddy Sharman-Lowe, Mike Penders, Gaga Slonina
DefendersMarco Palestra, Wesley Fofana, Maxence Lacroix, Levi Colwill, Jorrel Hato, Reece James, Malo Gusto, Pep Chavarría, Aaron Anselmino, Josh Acheampong, Olutayo Subuloye
MidfieldersValentín Barco, Cole Palmer, Jordan Henderson, Morgan Rogers, Geovany Quenda, Moisés Caicedo, Reggie Watson, Mahdi Nicoll-Jazuli, Romeo Lavia
ForwardsPedro Neto, João Pedro, Jamie Gittens, Danny Welbeck, Emmanuel Emegha, Estêvão
Leeds United
PositionPlayers
GoalkeepersJames Trafford, Alex Cairns, Michael Zetterer, Rory Mahady, Darryl Ombang
DefendersJayden Bogle, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Tarik Muharemović, Joe Rodon, Jaka Bijol, James Justin, Nico Elvedi, Melvin Bard, Jayden Lienou
MidfieldersEthan Ampadu, Sean Longstaff, Anton Stach, Ao Tanaka, Ilia Gruev, Brenden Aaronson, Rhys Chadwick, Callum Mills, Alfie Cresswell
ForwardsDaniel James, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Harry Wilson, Lukas Nmecha, Noah Okafor

Injury List for Carabao Cup

Unavailable players for Chelsea: Moisés Caicedo (injury), Jordan Henderson (injury), Marco Palestra (injury). 

Unavailable players for Leeds United: Ilia Gruev (injury), Joe Rodon (injury), Mateo Joseph (injury).

Performance Measures

KPIChelsea FCLeeds UnitedWinner / Edge
All-Time H2H History40 Wins41 Wins (31 Draws)Leeds United
Recent H2H Form (Since 2020)7 Wins2 WinsChelsea (Modern dominance)
Current League TierPremier League Elite TierPremier League Mid/Lower TierChelsea
Squad Market Value~€1.08 billion~€407.55 millionChelsea
Recent Match Day PerformanceLost 1–2 vs ArsenalLost 3–0 vs BrightonLeeds United (Slightly better momentum)
Average Ball Possession59% (vs elite teams)41% (vs elite teams)Chelsea (Superior control)
Passing Accuracy KPI83% – 87%69% – 81%Chelsea (Better technical build-up)
Goal Creation Threat (xG Index)High (Led by Cole Palmer)Moderate (Led by Calvert-Lewin)Chelsea
Home Advantage ImpactPlaying at Stamford BridgePoor historical record at Stamford BridgeChelsea

Analytical Verdict

Chelsea have the better KPIs, with about an 85% pass completion rate, while Leeds has a 69% pass completion rate. Chelsea has squad depth and home advantage, with their ground being Stamford Bridge. Leeds ‘ counter-attacking style of play is still a threat, but Chelsea has better technical skill and a better squad.

The Pick: Chelsea

Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur

Date: 15 September 2026 (Tuesday)

Time: 3:00 PM ET | 12:00 PM PT | 12:30 AM IST (Next day)

Venue: Anfield, Liverpool

Expected Carabao Cup Squad

Liverpool
PositionPlayers
GoalkeepersAlisson Becker, Giorgi Mamardashvili, Freddie Woodman, Vítězslav Jaroš, Harvey Davies
DefendersJoe Gomez, Virgil van Dijk, Jérémy Jacquet, Milos Kerkez, Conor Bradley, Jeremie Frimpong, Giovanni Leoni, Ronald Araújo, Kostas Tsimikas
MidfieldersFlorian Wirtz, Dominik Szoboszlai, Alexis Mac Allister, Ryan Gravenberch, Trey Nyoni, James McConnell, Wataru Endo
ForwardsAlexander Isak, Federico Chiesa, Cody Gakpo, Hugo Ekitiké, Víctor Muñoz, Bradley Barcola, Lewis Koumas, Rio Ngumoha
Tottenham Hotspur
PositionPlayers
GoalkeepersMartin Dúbravka, Brandon Austin, Antonín Kinský
DefendersAndy Robertson, Marcos Senesi, Tosin Adarabioyo, Pedro Porro, Jan Paul van Hecke, Micky van de Ven, Ben Davies, Destiny Udogie
MidfieldersSandro Tonali, Conor Gallagher, Archie Gray, Lucas Bergvall, James Maddison, Rodrigo Bentancur, Mohammed Kudus, Xavi Simons, Mateus Fernandes, Dejan Kulusevski, Mykhailo Mudryk, Luca Williams-Barnett
ForwardsRicharlison, Omar Marmoush, Sávio, Mathys Tel, Dominic Solanke, Wilson Odobert

Injury List for Carabao Cup

Unavailable players for Liverpool: Federico Chiesa (injury), Joe Gomez (injury), Hugo Ekitiké (injury), Conor Bradley (injury), Giovanni Leoni (injury). 

Unavailable players for Tottenham Hotspur: James Maddison (injury), Xavi Simons (injury), Wilson Odobert (injury), Dejan Kulusevski (injury).

Performance Measures

KPILiverpool FCTottenham HotspurWinner / Edge
All-Time H2H History89 or 90 Wins44 or 45 Wins (40 Draws)Liverpool
Recent H2H Form (Last 5)3 Wins, 2 Draws, 0 Losses0 Wins, 2 Draws, 3 LossesLiverpool
Last Meeting ResultDrew 1–1 (15 Mar 2026, Premier League)Drew 1–1 (15 Mar 2026, Premier League)Even
Current League FormUnbeaten / Top-Flight Contenders5-1 win against CharltonLiverpool
Squad Market Value~€1.03 billion~€824 millionLiverpool (More settled, elite value)
Passing Accuracy KPI86% (Direct, vertical build-up)73% (Positional play under Postecoglou)Chelsea
Defensive Solidity (Clean Sheets)High (Anchored by Virgil van Dijk)Poor (Conceded 3 vs Forest recently)Liverpool
Home Advantage ImpactPlaying at Anfield (Massive win rate)Vulnerable away record at AnfieldLiverpool

Analytical Verdict:

Liverpool has the edge in terms of tactics because of better defensive control and pressing tactics. Virgil van Dijk helps control the transition tactics used by Tottenham, while Cody Gakpo and Florian Wirtz help with pressing tactics. Tottenham does well in retaining possession, but they have an exposed defensive line. Liverpool’s counter-pressing gives them an advantage.

The Pick: Liverpool

Ipswich Town vs Arsenal

Date: 15 September 2026 (Tuesday)

Time: 3:00 PM ET | 12:00 PM PT | 12:30 AM IST (Next day)

Venue: Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich

Expected Carabao Cup Squad

Ipswich Town
PositionPlayers
GoalkeepersAlex Palmer, David Button, Christian Walton, Kjell Scherpen
DefendersJacob Greaves, Dara O’Shea, Cedric Kipre, Leif Davis, Darnell Furlong, Issa Diop, Jack Taylor, Abdoul Ouattara
MidfieldersAzor Matusiwa, Kasey McAteer, Marcelino Núñez, Anis Mehmeti, Julio Enciso, Florentino, Sasa Lukic, Exequiel Palacios, Matthew Charles Compton
ForwardsSindre Walle Egeli, Jack Clarke, Jaden Philogene, Fatawu Issahaku, Zian Flemming, Emersonn, Chuba Akpom, Daizen Maeda
Arsenal
PositionPlayers
GoalkeepersDavid Raya, Kepa Arrizabalaga, Illan Meslier
DefendersWilliam Saliba, Cristhian Mosquera, Ben White, Piero Hincapié, Gabriel Magalhães, Jurriën Timber, Ezri Konsa, Riccardo Calafiori, Myles Lewis-Skelly
MidfieldersMartin Ødegaard, Eberechi Eze, Mikel Merino, Martín Zubimendi, Bruno Guimarães, Declan Rice, Max Dowman
ForwardsBukayo Saka, Viktor Gyökeres, Christos Tzolis, Noni Madueke, Kai Havertz

Injury List for Carabao Cup

Unavailable players for Ipswich Town: Jaden Philogene (injury), Jack Taylor (injury), Azor Matusiwa (injury). 

Unavailable players for Arsenal: Cristhian Mosquera (injury), Jurriën Timber (injury), William Saliba (injury).

Performance Measures

KPIIpswich TownArsenal FCWinner / Edge
All-Time H2H History18 Wins (11 Draws)32 WinsArsenal
Recent H2H Form (Modern)0 Wins2 Wins (1-0, 4-0)Arsenal (Dominant in recent top-flight meetings)
Last Meeting ResultLost 0–4 (20 Apr 2025, Premier League)Won 4–0 (20 Apr 2025, Premier League)Arsenal
Squad Market Value£285 M~£1.33 B (World Elite Tier)Arsenal (Massive disparity in world-class quality)
Tactical Style ProfileDirect counters / Relegation survivalistsElite Progressors (High possession / control)Arsenal
Average Ball Possession23% (vs elite squads)77% (Complete game control)Arsenal (Dominates the tempo)
Passing Accuracy KPI88%94%Arsenal
Defensive Effectiveness KPIPoor (Conceded >2 goals/game vs elite sides)Elite (Anchored by Saliba & Gabriel)Arsenal
Home Advantage ImpactPlaying at Portman Road (Highly competitive atmosphere)Strong away record under Mikel ArtetaIpswich Town (Slight psychological push)

Analytical Verdict

Arsenal continues to be the absolute favorite based on their superior tactics and positioning. In their previous clash, the Gunners smothered Ipswich by controlling a massive 77% of possession. They delivered a pinpoint-accurate pass percentage of 94%, leading to their 4–0 win. The biggest tactical weakness that Ipswich has is their frail defensive line under first-tier opposition.

The Pick: Arsenal

Manchester United vs Brighton

Date: 16 September 2026 (Wednesday)

Time: 3:00 PM ET | 12:00 PM PT | 12:30 AM IST (Next day)

Venue: Old Trafford, Greater Manchester

Expected Carabao Cup Squad

Manchester United
PositionPlayers
GoalkeepersSenne Lammens, Karl Darlow, Tom Heaton, Dermot Mee
DefendersDiogo Dalot, Noussair Mazraoui, Matthijs de Ligt, Harry Maguire, Lisandro Martínez, Patrick Dorgu, Leny Yoro, Luke Shaw, Ayden Heaven, Harry Amass
MidfieldersBruno Fernandes, Mason Mount, Andrey Santos, Youri Tielemans, Manuel Ugarte, Kobbie Mainoo, Carlos Baleba, Jack Fletcher, Tyler Fletcher
ForwardsMatheus Cunha, Bryan Mbeumo, Marcus Rashford, Benjamin Šeško, Amad Diallo, Joshua Zirkzee, Shea Lacey
Brighton
PositionPlayers
GoalkeepersBart Verbruggen, Jason Steele, Tom McGill
DefendersLewis Dunk, Luka Vušković, Costinha, Pascal Struijk, Michael Svoboda, Jaouen Hadjam, Olivier Boscagli, Ferdi Kadıoğlu, Maxim De Cuyper
MidfieldersMats Wieffer, Pascal Gross, Diego Gómez, Malick Yalcouyé, Yasin Ayari, Jack Hinshelwood, Matt O’Riley, Billie Lawrence, Kaoru Mitoma, Nehemiah Oriola, Shane Nti, Chema Andrés
ForwardsCharalampos Kostoulas, Georginio Rutter, Ibrahim Osman, Zadok Yohanna, Promise David, Stefanos Tzimas, Yankuba Minteh, Evan Ferguson, Femi Azeez

Injury List for Carabao Cup

Unavailable players for Manchester United: Amad Diallo (injury), Tom Heaton (injury), Carlos Baleba (injury), Manuel Ugarte (injury), Matthijs de Ligt (injury). 

Unavailable players for Brighton: Mats Wieffer (injury), Georginio Rutter (injury), Jack Hinshelwood (injury), Femi Azeez (injury), Evan Ferguson (injury), Yankuba Minteh (injury), Kaoru Mitoma (injury), Stefanos Tzimas (injury).

Performance Measures

KPIManchester UnitedBrightonWinner / Edge
All-Time H2H History22 Wins12 Wins (9 Draws)Manchester United
Recent H2H Form (Last 5)2 Wins3 WinsBrighton (Modern edge)
Last Meeting ResultWon 3–0 (24 May 2026, Premier League)Lost 0–3 (24 May 2026, Premier League)Manchester United
Squad Market Value~£924.20M+ (Elite Tier)~£603.50 MManchester United (Higher financial value)
Cup Head-to-Head (2026)Lost 1–2 (FA Cup Third Round)Won 2–1 (FA Cup Third Round)Brighton
Tactical Passing KPI82% – 86% Accuracy88% – 91% AccuracyBrighton (Superior possession retention)
Pressing & Turnover ThreatDirect, transition-heavy attackElite High-Press (Forces high turnovers)Brighton
Home Advantage ImpactPlaying at Old TraffordProven track record winning at Old TraffordEven

Analytical Verdict

There is an upper hand to Man United when playing at Old Trafford. The technical superiority of Brighton, led by Fabian Hürzeler, lies in their capacity to advance and pass the ball. He has consistently been causing disruptions for United. It is evident from Brighton beating Man United in the FA Cup game in Manchester in 2026. However, United found a way out of this in their recent league game, with a scoreline of 3-0.

The Pick: Man Utd

Conclusion

This third round has many tough football games, exciting Premier League clashes, and even some thrills. The Liverpool vs Tottenham match stands out, while Chelsea vs Leeds will be hard-fought. Arsenal and Manchester United are the favorites in this round. However, European schedules may affect the composition of the teams, resulting in major upsets.

kevin

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