UEFA Nations League: Matchday 4 Group Stage Analysis & Pick

UEFA Nations League: Matchday 4 Overview

UEFA Nations League is back in action with yet another round of football matches. Matchday 4 consists of some of the most significant matches in several groups. In total, there will be 26 matches in the UEFA Nations League schedule between October 4 and October 6. Many games could affect group standings.

The UEFA Nations League provides a great number of exciting matches between top European football teams. There is the Greece vs. Germany game to pay attention to. The next interesting match is Portugal vs. Norway. Another significant game will take place between France and Belgium. This provides the UEFA Nations League Matchday 4 schedule, statistics, lineups, and analysis.

UEFA Nations League: Matchday 4 Complete Schedule

Date & Day	Group	Fixture	ET	PT	IST	Venue
4 October 2026 (Sunday)	N	Azerbaijan vs Lithuania	9:00 AM	6:00 AM	6:30 PM	Palms Sports Arena, Baku, Azerbaijan
4 October 2026 (Sunday)	G	Kosovo vs Austria	11:00 AM	8:00 AM	9:30 PM	Fadil Vokrri Stadium, Prishtina, Kosovo
4 October 2026 (Sunday)	M	Malta vs Andorra	11:00 AM	8:00 AM	9:30 PM	National Stadium, Ta’ Qali, Attard, Malta
4 October 2026 (Sunday)	B	Greece vs Germany	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki, Greece
4 October 2026 (Sunday)	B	Netherlands vs Serbia	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	Philips Stadion, Eindhoven, Netherlands
4 October 2026 (Sunday)	D	Portugal vs Norway	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	Estádio do Dragão, Porto, Portugal
4 October 2026 (Sunday)	G	Republic of Ireland vs Israel	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	TSC Arena, Bačka Topola, Serbia
4 October 2026 (Sunday)	D	Wales vs Denmark	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff, Wales
5 October 2026 (Monday)	J	Cyprus vs Latvia	11:00 AM	8:00 AM	9:30 PM	GSP Stadium, Nicosia, Cyprus
5 October 2026 (Monday)	H	Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	Stadion “Bilino Polje”, Zenica, Bosnia and Herzegovina
5 October 2026 (Monday)	A	France vs Belgium	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	Stade de France, Saint-Denis, France
5 October 2026 (Monday)	A	Italy vs Türkiye	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	Renato Dall’Ara Stadium, Bologna, Italy
5 October 2026 (Monday)	F	Northern Ireland vs Georgia	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	Windsor Park, Belfast, Northern Ireland
5 October 2026 (Monday)	F	Ukraine vs Hungary	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	Stadium of Anton Malatinský, Trnava, Slovakia
5 October 2026 (Monday)	H	Romania vs Sweden	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	National Arena, Bucharest, Romania
5 October 2026 (Monday)	J	Montenegro vs Armenia	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	Podgorica City Stadium, Podgorica, Montenegro
6 October 2026 (Tuesday)	K	Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands	10:30 AM	7:30 AM	7:30 PM	Astana Arena, Astana, Kazakhstan
6 October 2026 (Tuesday)	I	Albania vs San Marino	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	Arena Kombëtare, Tirana, Albania
6 October 2026 (Tuesday)	I	Belarus vs Finland	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest, Hungary
6 October 2026 (Tuesday)	C	Croatia vs Spain	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	Poljud Stadium, Split, Croatia
6 October 2026 (Tuesday)	C	England vs Czechia	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	Wembley Stadium, London, England
6 October 2026 (Tuesday)	L	Estonia vs Iceland	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn, Estonia
6 October 2026 (Tuesday)	L	Luxembourg vs Bulgaria	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	Luxembourg Stadium, Luxembourg City, Luxembourg
6 October 2026 (Tuesday)	K	Moldova vs Slovakia	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	Zimbru Stadium, Chisinau, Moldova
6 October 2026 (Tuesday)	E	Scotland vs Slovenia	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	(Barclays) Hampden Park, Glasgow, Scotland
6 October 2026 (Tuesday)	E	Switzerland vs North Macedonia	2:45 PM	11:45 AM	12:15 AM (Next Day)	Thermoplan Arena, Luzern, Switzerland

UEFA Nations League: Key Match Analysis

Match 1: Kosovo vs Austria

Date: 4 October 2026 (Sunday)

Time: 12:00 PM ET | 09:00 AM PT | 09:30 PM IST

Venue: Fadil Vokrri Stadium, Prishtina, Kosovo

UEFA Nations League Expected Lineups

Kosovo

Formation: 4-4-2

Position	Players
Goalkeeper	Amir Saipi
Defenders	Mërgim Vojvoda, Ilir Krasniqi, Lumbardh Dellova, Milot Avdyli
Midfielders	Ermal Krasniqi, Valmir Matoshi, Dion Kacuri, Muharrem Jashari
Forwards	Albion Rrahmani, Fisnik Asllani
Head Coach	Franco Foda

Austria

Formation: 4-2-3-1

Position	Players
Goalkeeper	Florian Wiegele
Defenders	Phillipp Mwene, Philipp Lienhart, David Affengruber, Stefan Posch
Midfielders	Xaver Schlager, Nicolas Seiwald, Romano Schmid, Carney Chukwuemeka, Patrick Wimmer
Forward	Sasa Kalajdzic
Head Coach	Ralf Rangnick

Injury List

Unavailable players for Kosovo: Vedat Muriqi (injury), Donat Rrudhani (injury).

Unavailable players for Austria: Raul Florucz (suspension).

Performance Analysis: Kosovo vs Austria

KPI	Kosovo	Austria
Average Goals	0.83	2.83
Average Goals Conceded	0.50	1.17
Average Goal Differential	+0.30	+1.70
Possession	54%	55%
Shots on Target %	30%	47%
Big Chances Created	1.33	3.67
Duel Win %	52%	51%
Clean Sheets	3	0
Save Percentage	77%	12%
Top Scorer	Vedat Muriqi – 2	Romano Schmid – 2
Top Assists	—	Patrick Wimmer – 2
Previous Meeting	—	Austria won 3–1

Analysis

However, in terms of attack, Austria has better figures in terms of scoring. Their average for goals scored is 2.83, while their rivals’ average is only 0.83. Also, the Austrians create better opportunities for shooting: 3.67 versus 1.33 for their rivals. In terms of shots on target, Austria averages 47 percent, while the rival team averages 30 percent.

On the other hand, the Kosovo team boasts more clean sheets (three) than Austria (zero). Nonetheless, Austria’s previous victory of 3-1 makes things a little better for them in this match. The possession rate between the teams also shows that Austria has the better possession rate. The numbers point toward Austria having an advantage in attacking and passing.

The Pick: Austria

Match 2: Greece vs Germany

Date: 4 October 2026 (Sunday)

Time: 02:45 PM ET | 11:45 AM PT | 12:15 AM IST (Next day)

Venue: Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki, Greece

UEFA Nations League Expected Lineups

Greece

Formation: 4-4-2

Position	Players
Goalkeeper	Konstantinos Tzolakis
Defenders	Manolis Saliakas, Konstantinos Mavropanos, Panagiotis Retsos, Kostas Tsimikas
Midfielders	Konstantinos Karetsas, Dimitrios Kourbelis, Thanasis Androutsos, Christos Tzolis
Forwards	Vangelis Pavlidis, Fotis Ioannidis
Head Coach	Ivan Jovanović

Germany

Formation: 4-4-2

Position	Players
Goalkeeper	Jonas Urbig
Defenders	Malick Thiaw, Waldemar Anton, Philipp Treu, Maximilian Mittelstädt
Midfielders	Derry Scherhant, Tom Bischof, Aleksandar Pavlović, Serge Gnabry
Forwards	Florian Wirtz, Nick Woltemade
Head Coach	Jürgen Klopp

Injury List

Unavailable players for Greece: Christos Tzolis (injury).

Unavailable players for Germany: Nico Schlotterbeck (injury), Kai Havertz (injury), Brajan Gruda (injury).

Performance Analysis: Greece vs Germany

KPI	Greece	Germany
Average Goals	1.83	1.00
Average Goals Conceded	1.00	0.83
Average Goal Differential	+0.8	+0.2
Possession	41%	61%
Shots on Target	33%	25%
Big Chances Created	2.33	2.67
Duel Win Percentage	48%	45%
Clean Sheets	1	1
Save Percentage	77%	88%

Key Player Statistics

Category	Greece	Germany
Top Scorer	C. Tzolis – 2 goals	F. Nmecha – 2 goals
Most Assists	V. Pavlidis – 2 assists	K. Adeyemi – 2 assists
Top Scorer Apps	4	3
Most Assists Apps	4	3

Analysis

On average, Greece has managed to score more goals. Additionally, the average goal difference is higher for Greece than for Germany. However, Germany has conceded fewer goals per game. Germany controls the ball better, having an average of 61 percent ball possession compared to 41 percent for Greece. Greece has a higher percentage of shots on target at 33 percent.

Germany managed to create slightly more big chances, with an average of 2.67 per game. Greece have the edge in duels with a 48 percent win rate. Both sides have managed one clean sheet per game. Germany have a better save percentage at 88 percent. The top scorer for Greece is C. Tzolis with two goals in four games. The top scorer for Germany is F. Nmecha with two goals in three games.

The Pick: Greece

Match 3: Portugal vs Norway

Date: 4 October 2026 (Sunday)

Time: 02:45 PM ET | 11:45 AM PT | 12:15 AM IST (Next day)

Venue: Estádio do Dragão, Porto, Portugal

UEFA Nations League Expected Lineups

Portugal

Formation: 4-2-3-1

Position	Players
Goalkeeper	Diogo Costa
Defenders	João Cancelo, Rúben Dias, Renato Veiga, Nuno Mendes
Midfielders	Rúben Neves, Vitinha, Pedro Neto, Bruno Fernandes, Rafael Leão
Forward	Gonçalo Ramos
Head Coach	Jorge Jesus

Norway

Formation: 4-3-3

Position	Players
Goalkeeper	Ørjan Nyland
Defenders	David Møller Wolfe, Torbjørn Heggem, Kristoffer Ajer, Julian Ryerson
Midfielders	Fredrik Aursnes, Sander Berge, Martin Ødegaard
Forwards	Oscar Bobb, Erling Haaland, Andreas Schjelderup
Head Coach	Ståle Solbakken

Injury List

Unavailable players for Portugal: Francisco Conceição (injury).

Unavailable players for Norway: Torbjørn Heggem (suspension), Julian Ryerson (injury).

Performance Analysis: Portugal vs Norway

KPI	Portugal	Norway
Average Goals	1.78	1.89
Average Goals Conceded	0.67	2.00
Average Goal Differential	+1.1	-0.1
Possession	43%	51%
Shots on Target	32%	41%
Big Chances Created	1.33	1.33
Duel Win Percentage	49%	50%
Clean Sheets	2	0
Save Percentage	65%	61%

Key Player Statistics

Category	Portugal	Norway
Top Scorer	J. Félix – 4 goals	E. Haaland – 5 goals
Most Assists	N. Mendes – 2 assists	M. Ødegaard – 5 assists
Top Scorer Apps	4	5
Most Assists Apps	4	5

Analysis

The defense of Portugal is considerably better based on the provided data. For instance, they concede 0.67 goals per game against Norway. Additionally, Portugal has a far better average goal difference of +1.1 as compared to their opponents. Despite having fewer goals than Portugal (1.89), Norway have the edge in possession and shots on target ratio. Both sides create equal chances on an average basis.

Norway have an edge in terms of successful duels, with 50 percent for both teams. Portugal have recorded two clean sheets, but Norway do not have any. Moreover, the side led by Rui has the higher save percentage, which stands at 65 percent. J. Félix is the top scorer in Portugal, having scored four goals in four games. Haaland has five goals to his name in five games.

The Pick: Portugal

Match 4: France vs Belgium

Date: 5 October 2026 (Monday)

Time: 02:45 PM ET | 11:45 AM PT | 12:15 AM IST (Next day)

Venue: Stade de France, Saint-Denis, France

UEFA Nations League Expected Lineups

France

Formation: 4-3-3

Position	Players
Goalkeeper	Mike Maignan
Defenders	Pierre Kalulu, Jérémy Jacquet, Maxence Lacroix, Andy Diouf
Midfielders	Maghnes Akliouche, Lucas Da Cunha, Eduardo Camavinga
Forwards	Désiré Doué, Ousmane Dembélé, Michael Olise
Head Coach	Zinedine Zidane

Belgium

Formation: 4-3-3

Position	Players
Goalkeeper	Senne Lammens
Defenders	Timothy Castagne, Koni De Winter, Nathan Ngoy, Maxim De Cuyper
Midfielders	Youri Tielemans, Hans Vanaken, Kevin De Bruyne
Forwards	Charles De Ketelaere, Dodi Lukébakio, Mika Godts
Head Coach	Mark van Bommel

Injury List

Unavailable players for France: Mattéo Guendouzi (suspension), Warren Zaïre-Emery (injury).

Belgium does not have any unavailable players.

Performance Analysis: France vs Belgium

KPI	France	Belgium
Average Goals	1.00	1.00
Average Goals Conceded	0.00	0.50
Average Goal Differential	+1.0	+0.5
Possession	64%	40%
Shots on Target	37%	32%
Big Chances Created	1.50	2.00
Duel Win Percentage	56%	45%
Clean Sheets	2	1
Save Percentage	100%	92%

Key Player Statistics

Category	France	Belgium
Top Scorer	M. Olise – 1 goal	M. Godts – 1 goal
Most Assists	R. Cherki – 1 assist	C. De Ketelaere – 1 assist
Top Scorer Apps	2	2
Most Assists Apps	2	2

Analysis

France possesses an impressive defensive track record based on the presented statistics. They have not conceded any goals in the given matches. Belgium have conceded 0.5 goals per game over the given period. France also holds the superior goal difference with +1.0. Their 64 percent possession is much better than that of Belgium, which stands at 40 percent.

France has a five-point superiority in shots on target percentage. Belgium have created a high number of big chances, at 2.00 per game. France have the edge in duels won at 56 percent. Both sides average 1 goal per game. France have kept two clean sheets.

The Pick: France

Conclusion

Matchday 4 will prove another critical stage in the UEFA Nations League tournament. The full UEFA Nations League fixture list consists of 24 matches, taking place on three matchdays. There are some matches that promise an exciting struggle between teams with contrasting stats. Austria have excellent offensive stats against Kosovo, selected for analysis. Greece are good in scoring and dueling stats in the match against Germany. Portugal have great defensive stats before meeting Norway. France have great defensive stats before playing Belgium.

These statistics mean that there is a unique story behind every UEFA Nations League game. Team form, player availability, and recent performance continue to be relevant. UEFA Nations League games are also a great chance for some teams to score points.